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Impact of the Financial Crisis on the European Telecommunications Industry

【分类】
产业政策
【关键词】
电信业
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【摘要】
    The rapid intensification and global spread of the financial crisis that followed the bankruptcy of major US
banks in third quarter 2008 have significantly impacted the economic forecast in almost every part of the
world. The overall economic climate has worsened considerably as the financial crisis is increasingly affecting
the performance of the real economy1. GDP forecasts have been downgraded around the globe. Against
this background, Detecon interviewed 56 professionals across the European telecommunications sector in
November and December 2008 in order to learn more about the impact of the current financial crisis2 on the
telecommunications sector. The major findings of these interviews are outlined below.Each interviewee was asked to estimate ten statements related to the financial crisis. Interviews were conducted
either by phone or in one-to-one meetings. Of those interviewed, 48% came from fixed line carriers,
25% from mobile carriers, 14% from fixed + mobile carriers and 13% from other telecommunications-related
companies (e.g. consulting, banking, vendors). The interviewees included 35% Executives, 50% Line Managers
and 15% Professionals. The responses of the interviewees were grouped into three regions in order
to take into consideration the different market environments. The regional grouping was done as follows:
Region West (Belgium, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Norway, Spain, and UK), Region East (Belarus,
Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan) and Region South
(Croatia, Greece, Turkey).
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相关报告
金融危机对欧洲电信业的影响
在2008年第3季度美国几大主要银行破产之后迅速加剧并蔓延至全球的金融危机对全世界几乎每一地区的经济预测都产生了极大的影响。随着金融危机对实体经济的影响越来越大,整体经济环境已经相当程度地恶化了1。全球各地都下调了对GDP的预测。在这一背景下,2008年11月和12月,Detecon采访了整个欧洲电信行业56位专业人士2,以便更多地了解当前的金融危机对电信行业所产生的影响。每一个受访者被要求评估10个关于金融危机的陈述。采访通过电话或在一对一面谈进行。48%的受访者来自固网运营商,25 %来自移动运营商,14%来自固定+移动运营商,还有13%来自其他与电信相关的公司(如咨询,银行,供应商)。受访者包括35%的执行董事,50%的一线管理人和15%的专业人士。考虑到不同的市场环境,我们将受访者分为三个区域。大多数受访者一致认为,金融危机已经影响到他们的主要业务市场。然而,区域分列显示,与西欧和南欧的受访者相比,来自东欧的受访者预计危机对市场的影响更严重,这可能也表明东部地区未来市场发展的不确定性要高得多。大部分东欧受访者给出注释:很难估计金融危机将如何进一步影响2009年和2010年的整体经济,以及其在电信部门的溢出效应。
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浏览:2331 次 作者:德国电信咨询公司
上传日期:2009-02-21